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The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone EIGHTEEN in the Southern Caribbean. Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen currently sitting south of Jamaica is expected to move north toward the island nation in the next 24 hours. It is expected to become Tropical Storm Rafael by Tuesday morning. The track continues to take the storm northwest towards the western tip of Cuba and into the Southern Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday as a hurricane. From here, the uncertainty in the track grows since the center of the system has not formed yet. We will continue to see shifts in the track over the next few days. Conditions will gradually become more hostile to the cyclone as it moves into the Central Gulf thanks to cooler waters and increasing wind shear. The storm is expected to weaken through the end of the week.

posted by novicexm