NOTE: This video was recorded on Tuesday Sept. 17 and may be out of date.

A hurricane is a "strong possibility" next week in the Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico. Bernie Rayno explains why.

CHAOS TO CLARITY: In this video series, AccuWeather's Chief Video Meteorologist Bernie Rayno dives into the chaos of meteorology and computer model predictions for upcoming storms, sorting through the data to develop accurate forecasts.

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